This is the rule to be applied while deciding what to opt for. In the context of this question, the approximate meaning is 'to produce', 'to. I must have heard people use it incorrectly so much that the correct way sounds strange.
MasterChef judge Andy Allen discusses beans, beer and befriending
The subject must agree in number with its verb. To make for is an idiom with several different meanings. Thus, if a subject is.
The formal and traditional answer is makes, because the subject is the singular noun phrase receiving homemade cupcakes.
I will use your suggested.